Jimmy the Greek's Week 15 Picks

I'm a basketcase right now. Three weeks left and I was in third place, down three to the leader in my dad's office pool. Payout is a couple grand to first place, so winning this thing would be a nice little payout. Which means I'm overthinking every freakin pick I make. The result? I swung and missed on both the Colts and Saints so far this week. And the lead is up to four. As for the rest of the week, here are the picks:

Bills (+6.5) over Patriots
This will be a grinder of a game. The Bills have an atrocious run defense, but with Ty Warren and Vince Wilfork out, Fred Jackson and Buffalo's run offense should find some seams. Pats win, but it'll be a 20-16 type of affair.

Rams (+10.5) over Texans
I'm going Rams here simply because everyone expects the Texans to blow them out. Steven Jackson is playing, and I'm going with the home team getting the points. Houston has a feeling of dropping a bomb when they shouldn't, and I'm facing my buddy Kevin in week 2 of our two-week fantasy playoffs; he has Schaub and Johnson going. F him.

Dolphins (+3.5) over Titans
VY was a GTD and the Dolphins are just as motivated as their opponent this week. I love the Dolphins style of football. Physical, they can run the ball, and Chad Henne is limiting his mistakes. The Titans have been on a nice roll, but they dug themselves too big of a hole and the end of the year schedule is a grind. It will catch up, starting today.

Cardinals (-10.5) over Lions
Bounce back game for Arizona. Fitzgerald is playing. Culpepper starting for the Lions. Gross.

Falcons (+4.5) over Jets
Matt Ryan and Michael Turner are starting for the Falcons. Sanchize returns, but from injury; how will that affect him? Atlanta was eliminated from playoff contention last night, and I like a team playing for pride today. After today, it'll be the Pats and Dolphins left in the AFC East.

Chiefs (-2.5) over Browns
Another team that I think makes a pride statement. They've struggled this year despite high expectations with the arrival of Matt Cassel. Look for Cassel to find his stride with the returning Dwayne Bowe, and Jamal Charles to run rampant.

Broncos (-13.5) over Raiders
I don't even remember who is starting for the Raiders at QB today. That's how bad it is. And I have Marshall going against Kevin. I'm hoping he breaks his own record.

Bengals (+6.5) over Chargers
Never bet against an emotionally charged team. OchoCinco will explode.

Eagles (-8.5) over 49ers
West coast team playing on the East coast and dealing with the remnants of a blizzard? Classic Philly style game with a big play or two mixed in. 27-17 Eagles.

Packers (+0.5) over Steelers
Green Bay is rolling, and Palamalu isn't playing. Rodgers to Jennings (I have Jennings) all day baby!!! Maybe? Please?

Seahawks (-7.5) over Bucs
East coast team playing in the upper northwest? Check that, a really bad east coast team playing in the upper northwest? Hasselbeck will light it up today.

Bears (+10.5) over Ravens
If this was a 9.5 point spread, I'd take Baltimore at home. 24-14 Ravens.

Vikings (-7.5) over Panthers
Panthers may not score a touchdown tonight against that run defense, and Matt Moore is a bad quarterback. Let's go Percy Harvin! And I'm hoping AP gets lost on his way to the field, Kevin has him going.

Giants (-3.5) over Redskins
I like the Giants here to win on the big stage. Their backs are against the wall, especially after Dallas beat the previously undefeated Saints last night. Tom Coughlin will have his squad ready to go, and I think the Redskins recent run of good play is an aberration. They beat a bad Raiders team last week.

Last week: 8-8
Overall: 114-94

-Bess