Sorry I've been missing lately...had a couple back-to-back busy weekends and couldn't get anything up. However, while I was gone I happened to win $300 in an office pool picking against the spread. I've still been winning, and I'm rolling into this week looking to keep it going. Hit a little roadbump on Thursday night, taking the Bears (+3.5), but I feel I can justifiably blame it on Jay Cutler throwing 5 picks, including 2 in the end zone. Loser. Here are the rest of the picks...
Dolphins (-9.5) over Bucs
Freeman makes his first start on the road, and I think he and the rest of his team will come back to Earth after an unbelievable upset over Green Bay. Miami is much, much better than this team.
Lions (+16.5) over Vikings
Minny will win comfortably, but this many points just scares me. All it takes is a late score to screw you over, and I feel like that will happen here. Detroit is still a threat to cover large spreads. Is that when you know you've hit a new low? When you're labeled as a team that's a threat to cover a large point spread in your favor?
Jaguars (+6.5) over Jets
A buddy of mine said last night the Jaguars are the best worst team in the NFL. Well spoken. MJD3 will slow down the blitzing of the Jets and Garrard will get some passes off. I don't know if they win, but they'll cover.
Saints (-13.5) over Rams
Blowout.
Broncos (-6.5) over Redskins
Denver rebounds against a struggling 'Skins team. Look for Brandon Marshall to have a big day, and the Broncos defense to step up and save this team from a losing streak.
Bengals (+6.5) over Steelers
Pitt wins this game at home, but Cincy threatens late until a Carson Palmer pick by Palomalu seals the deal. OchoCinco scores and Adam Schefter loves it.
Falcons (-1.5) over Panthers
Matt Ryan bounces back with a great game against Carolina. D'Angelo Williams is a little banged up and the Falcons secondary will pick off Delhomme twice.
Titans (-6.5) over Bills
Tennessee is rolling and will keep it going. Can they win out and sneak into the playoffs? Absolutely not.
Chiefs (+1.5) over Raiders
The Gus Johnson Game of the Week.
Packers (+2.5) over Cowboys
Green Bay bounces back and surprises a lot of people with a win over Dallas. Don't count out Aaron Rodgers. The kid is legit and will have a huge day. Hopefully to Greg Jennings.
Seahawks (+8.5) over Cardinals
Arizona wins comfortably through the air, but Hasselbeck and the Seahawks can score too. They'll keep it close.
Eagles (+2.5) over Chargers
Mcnabb and the Eagles bounce back. SD shouldn't have won last week, but NYG choked in the secondary. If Rivers didn't find Jackson in the back of the end zone, this wouldn't even be a thought.
Pats (+2.5) over Colts
Brady engineers a late TD drive, just moments after Manning engineered one of his own for a short lived lead. An all-time classic.
Ravens (-10.5) over Browns
This is awful.
This week: 0-1
Last week: 10-3
Overall: 74-56
-The Greek
Showing posts with label Week 10. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 10. Show all posts
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Friday, November 7, 2008
The Sports Brief's Week 10 NFL picks
Last night I went to Conor Larkin's on the campus of Northeastern to watch the first NFL start for Brady Quinn. I had a vested interest in the game because I managed to snatch Quinn in a couple fantasy leagues off the free agent list. But I also faced a dilemma. Start him? Or sit him?
I had him in fourleagues, three of which I had Romo as my starter (out) and Pennington as my number two guy. The Dolphins are at Seattle this week, and the Seahawks have been dishing out serious frequent flier miles to opposing offenses. Looking back, I think they've allowed over 300 yards in the air in the last 5 or 6 games. I felt compelled to start him over Quinn in those leagues. Rosenfels was my backup (to Romo) in another league, so I started Quinn there. My keeper league on Fanball.com (worst site, by the way) was a big question mark, as well. I had been rolling with Matt Schaub and Big Ben, but both got banged up last week, Schaub worse than Ben. I dropped Big Ben in hopes that Schaub could return later this year and picked up Quinn and Pennington. This is a touchdown league, and my contention was that Quinn would be efficient but Jamal Lewis, whom I also had, would run it in from a few yards out a couple times. So I went with Pennington.
Let's just say I wish I started both Quinn and Lewis; thankfully I rolled with Lewis though. Meanwhile, karma sure was a bitch last night. I was facing Eddie Royal in my fanball league but had him going in a yahoo league. When he got stuffed at the 1-yd line, I couldn't contain the excitement. As I said to Milano, I don't care if Royal goes 10 for 150 tonight, just don't score.
A 93 yard slant route later, it was a bittersweet moment.
How about Jay Cutler? I'm up against him in our NFL.com league this week and he shoved 35 points down my throat. Terrific. I have Drew Brees going, hopefully he can match that.
Anyway, onto the picks. Keefe and I still aren't picking well enough to warrant any explanation. But we'd love to hear your thoughts on the upcoming games and how you think some of them will play out.
Keefe’s picks:
Last week: 6-8; Overall: 60-70
Browns -3.5 over Broncos (definitely didn’t cheat on this one)
Falcons -.5 over Saints
Titans -3 over Bears
Lions +6.5 over Jaguars
Seahawks +9.5 over Dolphins
Packers +2.5 over Vikings
Patriots -3.5 over Bills
Jets -8.5 over Rams
Texans -1.5 over Ravens
Panthers -9.5 over Raiders
Steelers -3.5 over Colts
Chiefs +15.5 over Chargers
Giants +2.5 over Eagles
Cardinals -9.5 over 49ers
Besse’s picks:
Last week: 8-6; Overall: 68-62
Browns -3.5 over Broncos
Saints +0.5 over Falcons
Bears +3 over Titans
Lions +6.5 over Jaguars
Dolphins -9.5 over Seahawks
Packers +2.5 over Vikings
Patriots -3.5 over Bills
Rams +8.5 over Jets
Texans -1.5 over Ravens
Panthers -9.5 over Raiders
Colts +3.5 over Steelers
Chiefs +15.5 over Chargers
Giants +2.5 over Eagles
Cardinals -9.5 over 49ers
Random Rob’s picks:
Last week: 7-7; Overall: 74-56
Browns
Saints
Bears
Jaguars
Seahawks
Packers
Pats
Rams
Texans
Panthers
Colts
Chargers
Giants
49ers
Don't forget Calzaghe v. Jones tomorrow night for the light heavyweight championship of the world. And a week from tomorrow, Brock Lesnar challenges Randy Couture for the UFC heavyweight title. Should be a hell of a fight.
-Bess
I had him in fourleagues, three of which I had Romo as my starter (out) and Pennington as my number two guy. The Dolphins are at Seattle this week, and the Seahawks have been dishing out serious frequent flier miles to opposing offenses. Looking back, I think they've allowed over 300 yards in the air in the last 5 or 6 games. I felt compelled to start him over Quinn in those leagues. Rosenfels was my backup (to Romo) in another league, so I started Quinn there. My keeper league on Fanball.com (worst site, by the way) was a big question mark, as well. I had been rolling with Matt Schaub and Big Ben, but both got banged up last week, Schaub worse than Ben. I dropped Big Ben in hopes that Schaub could return later this year and picked up Quinn and Pennington. This is a touchdown league, and my contention was that Quinn would be efficient but Jamal Lewis, whom I also had, would run it in from a few yards out a couple times. So I went with Pennington.
Let's just say I wish I started both Quinn and Lewis; thankfully I rolled with Lewis though. Meanwhile, karma sure was a bitch last night. I was facing Eddie Royal in my fanball league but had him going in a yahoo league. When he got stuffed at the 1-yd line, I couldn't contain the excitement. As I said to Milano, I don't care if Royal goes 10 for 150 tonight, just don't score.
A 93 yard slant route later, it was a bittersweet moment.
How about Jay Cutler? I'm up against him in our NFL.com league this week and he shoved 35 points down my throat. Terrific. I have Drew Brees going, hopefully he can match that.
Anyway, onto the picks. Keefe and I still aren't picking well enough to warrant any explanation. But we'd love to hear your thoughts on the upcoming games and how you think some of them will play out.
Keefe’s picks:
Last week: 6-8; Overall: 60-70
Browns -3.5 over Broncos (definitely didn’t cheat on this one)
Falcons -.5 over Saints
Titans -3 over Bears
Lions +6.5 over Jaguars
Seahawks +9.5 over Dolphins
Packers +2.5 over Vikings
Patriots -3.5 over Bills
Jets -8.5 over Rams
Texans -1.5 over Ravens
Panthers -9.5 over Raiders
Steelers -3.5 over Colts
Chiefs +15.5 over Chargers
Giants +2.5 over Eagles
Cardinals -9.5 over 49ers
Besse’s picks:
Last week: 8-6; Overall: 68-62
Browns -3.5 over Broncos
Saints +0.5 over Falcons
Bears +3 over Titans
Lions +6.5 over Jaguars
Dolphins -9.5 over Seahawks
Packers +2.5 over Vikings
Patriots -3.5 over Bills
Rams +8.5 over Jets
Texans -1.5 over Ravens
Panthers -9.5 over Raiders
Colts +3.5 over Steelers
Chiefs +15.5 over Chargers
Giants +2.5 over Eagles
Cardinals -9.5 over 49ers
Random Rob’s picks:
Last week: 7-7; Overall: 74-56
Browns
Saints
Bears
Jaguars
Seahawks
Packers
Pats
Rams
Texans
Panthers
Colts
Chargers
Giants
49ers
Don't forget Calzaghe v. Jones tomorrow night for the light heavyweight championship of the world. And a week from tomorrow, Brock Lesnar challenges Randy Couture for the UFC heavyweight title. Should be a hell of a fight.
-Bess
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