A sports blog for the American working man, because that's who I am, and that's who I care about.
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NFL Conference Championship Games Picks and Props
Monday, January 13, 2014
Current Odds to Win Super Bowl
Tuesday, September 11, 2012
NFL Week 1 Thoughts
Peyton Manning looks good. Real good. I thought that 4 neck surgeries might slow down the 36 year old. Guess not. He lit up the Steelers on Sunday night, and now we must all consider the Broncos to be a contender... still not a favorite by any means, it's just Week 1, but still a contender for sure.
Joe Flacco might almost be as good as he thinks he is. Ok, that can't happen. By the sounds of that guy he thinks he's better than Montana. Either way, Flacco went for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns in Baltimore's easy win over the Bengals last night. The no-huddle offense may work, let's see them play a better defense first. (Yes I know Cincinnati made the playoffs last year, how'd they look last night?)
Adrian Peterson is good to go. 84 yards and 2 touchdowns for AP after all the talk that he might have to really ease into the season coming off knee surgery. He looked good... real good in fact for a "game-time decision."
Brandon Lloyd, despite missing a deep 1st half connection with Brady, already looks way more comfortable in the Patriots offense than Chad Ochocinco ever did. In fact the new #85 is only 10 catches shy of tying the old #85's reception total from all of last year.
What's up with Wes Welker? 122 catches last year, and just 3 little dink passes in Week 1. A message by the team or just an off week. I'm not sure.
Stevan Ridley could be a monster for the Pats. One of the best passing teams in the NFL may have themselves a 1,200+ yard back. The 2nd year RB from LSU ripped off 125 yards vs. the Titans on Sunday.
The Jets looked great, the Bills looked like crap. Great debate all preseason about which team would finish 2nd in the AFC East. Well the two choices (Miami will be a distant 4th), faced off Week 1 and it was all New York. Mark Sanchez was a stud, Bills D was weak, and Fred Jackson got hurt, again. Yikes.
Rookie QBs: Robert Griffin III was AWESOME. The Skins beat the Saints in New Orleans, and it was all about the Heisman winner. RG3 made it look easy, the rest of the rookie starters.... not so much.
Russell Wilson of the Seahawks almost pulled out a victory, although he wasn't very good... but how about these piles of crap.
Andrew Luck - Ryan Tannehill - Brandon Weedon = 1 TD & 10 INTs, (0-3 record).
49ers are a complete team. The defense is the best in the league. Frank Gore is solid, Alex Smith is good enough and now they have receivers.
Randy Moss! Back in the league and back in the end zone. His 154th career TD reception breaks the tie with Terrell Owens and moves him into 2nd place behind only Jerry Rice.
Packers and Steelers are the best teams that should have the most concerns.
Matt Ryan had an eagle of a day. With Julio Jones (2 TDs), Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, and Michael Turner, the Falcons should be a VERY high scoring team.
But with any reactions you hear, it was still just 1 week. Looking forward to Week 2, although I need to get used to this quick turnaround. Packers vs. Bears on Thursday.
-Keefe
Thursday, October 8, 2009
Keefe's Pick 3 for Week 5
Patriots (-3.5) over Broncos
This game is in Denver and I am aware that Josh McDaniels knows everything about Tom Brady and the Broncos D is the best in the league in terms of points allowed. But 5-0? There's no way Denver can be 5-0. I'm telling you right now this 4-0 team will be 4-4 after 8 games. Remember where you heard it. Pats by 10.
Bengals (+8.5) over Ravens
Taking another road team in this one. I know Cincy had to go to OT to beat Cleveland, but that was a road win, and probably the reason this number is so high. I wouldn't predict an outright win by the Bengals but I do like them to cover the number. Ravens by 7.
Panthers (-3.5) over Redskins
The Skins might be the worst 2-2 team in sports history. Their 2 wins are to the Rams and Bucs, by a combined 5 points, and of course they lost to the Lions, first team to do so in oh 20 games. Carolina is no good either, but at home, with DeAngelo Williams and Steve Smith they should cover the number.
Last Week: 2-1
Overall: 4-5
-Keefe
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Keefe's Pick 3 for Week 2
Alright it's time to play Pick 3! Going forward I am only going to pick 3 NFL games a week and see if I can make the magic happen. Check out Jimmy the Greek's full Week 2 breakdown coming soon. On to the picks. (Sorry for the crap picture, above, couldn't find much.)
Patriots (-4) over the Jets
No Jerod Mayo, no problem... this week. Everyone is freaking out about how good the Jets looked in Week 1 vs. the Texans. Good for them. They're playing the Patriots this week. New York is treating this thing like the Super Bowl, getting all geeked out, it's going to hurt them. Belichick has fared well in the past vs. rookie QBs (5-1). I also am going to assume New England gets a lot more of the Tom Brady from the last 5 minutes of the Bills game then the previous 55 which = problems for the Jets. Pats 27 Jets 20.
Seahawks (+1.5) over the 49ers
Seattle is coming off an impressive 28-0 win over the Rams, while the 9ers topped last year's NFC champion Cardinals 20-16. Both teams are looking to get to 2-0, but more importantly 2-0 in the division. Hasselbeck threw 2 early picks then settled down nicely tossing 3 TD passes. Julius Jones showed signs of life, and the Seahawks posted the only Week 1 shutout. (against the Rams, I know.) Shaun Hill still the San Fran Q? Right, thought so. Seahawks 24 49ers 10.
Bills (-5) over the Buccaneers
Byron Leftwich and the Bucs head north to face Buffalo. Unfortunately this won't be a snow game or the spread would have to be doubled. Call me crazy, but I actually like the Bills this year. If Leodis McKelvin doesn't fumble they probably beat the Pats in New England last Monday. Tampa is going to be a punching bag in the NFC and might as well forfeit all of their road games. Buffalo needs to get their receivers more involved (Owens & Evans combined 5 catches), and Fred Jackson is a solid back up RB in the NFL. With Aaron Schobel healthy it makes the Bills a sneaky good defensive team. Bills 20 Bucs 13.
Goodluck with your picks this weekend!
Overall record: 0-0
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Jimmy the Greek's Week 1 NFL picks
Falcons (-3.5) over Dolphins
The Falcons add Tony Gonzalez to what was already a solid offensive lineup, and Matty Heisman returns at the helm. This team should put up a lot of points against a Dolphins squad that overachieved last year but won’t do the same in ’09. Falcons win comfortably at home.
Colts (-6.5) over Jaguars
I don’t like the Jaguars offense other than Maurice Jones-Drew. He’ll get his numbers and have a solid fantasy day, but look for Peyton Manning and the Colts O to silence all the critics in Week 1. A lot of people have them finishing out of the playoffs at 8-8, but I think they’re delusional.
Vikings (-2.5) over Browns
I hate this pick probably because I hate Brett Favre. What a loser. But let’s face it, AP is filthy good and Brady Quinn just found out he’s starting the other day. Mangini is a dink and the Browns will lose because of it (and the fact that the Vikings are better).
Cowboys (-3.5) over Buccaneers
Who the hell is the quarterback for the Buccaneers? I honestly have no idea. And who is their running back? In fact, who the hell is on the freakin’ team?
Jets (+4.5) over Texans
I like the Texans to win, but they’ll do it on a Kris Brown field goal. Mark Sanchez will have some bumps and bruises in his debut, but overall he’ll be solid and keep them in it. Look for Steve Slaton to have a day and Andre Johnson to quietly go about his business with double digit catches, 100 yards receiving and a TD.
Ravens (-9.5) over Chiefs
Matt Cassel isn’t starting and the Chiefs had the 30th ranked run defense last year. Hello, Ray Rice. It’ll be a feast for the Ravens on offense as Joe Flacco simply hands the ball off and starts off 1-0 in 2009.
Bengals (-3.5) over Broncos
We don’t know if Brandon Marshall is playing and Kyle Orton sucks. Plus, Chad OchoCinco is in for a MONSTER year. Remember where you heard it first!
Saints (-11.5) over Lions
This could be over after the first quarter.
Eagles (+1.5) over Panthers
Another pick I hate. This is going to be a rough, physical game. You know the Panthers are going to try and run the ball with D’Angelo Williams and a banged up Jonathan Stewart, but the key will be Delhomme’s ability to find Steve Smith. I think the Eagles stop them when they need to, and a well balanced offensive attack will help them sneak by with a win.
Giants (-6.5) over Redskins
Albert Haynesworth against arguably the best offensive line in football makes for a lot of fun. This will be a competitive game, but the Giants simply have too good a defense to let the Redskins score enough to stay in it come the 4th quarter. Manning and Jacobs will help them eventually pull away as the big, physical RB wears down the ‘Skins D.
Rams (+7.5) over Seahawks
Hawks win but don’t cover. Rams should be OK on offense, and I think Steve Spagnola will have them disciplined and ready to play. Seattle is an interesting team to follow with a lot of guys coming back from injury. But they have no running game which will eventually hurt them down the road.
Cardinals (-6.5) over 49ers
Cardinals have too many weapons on offense, even with Anquan Boldin out, for the 49ers to make this a competitive game on the road. Josh Morgan isn’t ready to carry the load for the receiving corp and the 49ers need Michael Crabtree to sign and report. In a ye
Bears (+3.5) over Packers
I like Green Bay as a Super Bowl team, but the Bears will be tough for anyone all year long. Cutler adds some intrigue to an offense already built around Matt Forte. Packers by a field goal.
Patriots (-10.5) over Bills
As long as Brady doesn’t get hurt in the first 8 minutes, this won’t even be close. The Patriots will pick up where they left off in 2007 as a record setting offense. Call me crazy, but I think they have a good enough offense to have us wondering about 16-0 again in a few weeks.
Chargers (-8.5) over Raiders
Oakland still sucks.
Thursday, September 10, 2009
The Sports Brief's 2009 NFL Preview
KEEFE's Picks:
1. Patriots*
2. Bills*
3. Dolphins
4. Jets
1. Steelers*
2. Ravens*
3. Bengals
4. Browns
1. Texans*
2. Colts
3. Titans
4. Jaguars
1. Chargers*
2. Raiders
3. Chiefs
4. Broncos
Playoffs:
Wildcard:
Patriots over Bills
Ravens over Texans
Patriots over Steelers
Chargers over Ravens
Chargers over Patriots
NFC East
1. Eagles*
2. Giants
3. Redskins
4. Cowboys
NFC North
1. Bears*
2. Vikings*
3. Packers
4. Lions
NFC South
1. Saints*
2. Panthers
3. Falcons
4. Buccaneers
NFC West
1. Cardinals*
2. Seahawks*
3. Rams
4. 49ers
Playoffs
Wildcard:
Seahawks over Cardinals
Eagles over Vikings
Eagles over Bears
Saints over Seahawks
Saints over Eagles
SUPER BOWL: Chargers over Saints
MVP: Drew Brees, Saints
Offensive Player of the Year: Brees, Saints
Defensive Player of the Year: Mario Williams, Texans
O-Rookie: Percy Harvin, Vikings
D-Rookie: Brian Cushing, Texans
Coach: Gary Kubiak, Texans
BESSE's Picks:
1. Patriots*
2. Dolphins
3. Jets
4. Bills
AFC North
1. Steelers*
2. Bengals*
3. Ravens
4. Browns
1. Colts*
2. Texans*
3. Titans
4. Jaguars
1. Chargers*
2. Broncos
3. Chiefs
4. Raiders
AFC Playoffs
Wildcard:
Chargers over Texans
Colts over Bengals
Divisional:
Pats over Chargers
Steelers over Colts
Conference:
Pats over Steelers
NFC East
1. Giants*
2. Cowboys*
3. Eagles
4. Redskins
NFC North
1. Packers*
2. Bears
3. Vikings
4. Lions
NFC South
1. Saints*
2. Falcons*
3. Panthers
4. Bucs
NFC West
1. Seahawks*
2. Cardinals
3. 49ers
4. Rams
NFC Playoffs
Wildcard:
Falcons over Giants
Cowboys over Seahawks
Divisional:
Packers over Cowboys
Falcons over Saints
Conference:
Falcons over Packers
SUPER BOWL: Pats over Falcons
Awards:
MVP – Aaron Rodgers, Packers
Offensive POY – Drew Brees, Saints
Defensive POY – Justin Tuck, Giants
Offensive ROY – Knowshon Moreno, Broncos
Defensive ROY – James Laurinaitis, Rams
Coach of the Year – Mike McCarthy, Packers
-The Sports Brief
Week 1 Picks
Keefe: Steelers(-6) over the Titans
Hate both teams, but I'll go with Pittsburgh at home to win by more than a touchdown. They will be all jacked up and could get off to a slow start, but I think that's going to be the Titans' problem all year. Collins plays himself out of the starting QB job, only for it to get worse with Vince Young at the helm.
Besse: Steelers (-6) over Titans
While some money grubbin' whore in Vegas is digging up the names of every chick Big Ben has slayed (good luck w/ that), he'll be methodically breaking down the Titans defense on opening night. The loss of Haynesworth will gleam brightly tonight for the Titans, and the vaunted Steelers defense will shut down the run and force Kerry Collins to pass more. By the end of the night, we'll be wondering if Collins fell off the wagon again. And look for Willie Parker to do what he did last year: explode in Week 1, get all of his fantasy owners jacked up for the rest of the season, then get hurt and run like Maroney for the rest of the year. If you can't tell, that's exactly what happened to me last year. Bitter? Nah...
Friday, March 6, 2009
Where Will T.O. Go?

Friday, November 14, 2008
The Sports Brief's Week 11 NFL picks
Obviously the loss was tough given the circumstances. Nationally televised game on the NFL network, you’re at home, tied with the Jets at 6-3 atop the AFC East with the winner getting sole possession. Not only that, but you come back from a 24-6 deficit, tie it on a miraculous 60-second drive that consummate with an incredible pitch and catch from Cassel to Moss in the front corner of the end zone with one second left, only to see the Jets win the coin flip in OT and win on a field goal. And while I’ve never been a fan of highlighting moral victories and silver linings in professional sports, there was certainly a lot of good to be drawn from last night’s loss.
First off was the play of Matt Cassel. Is it me or is he a deep ball away from being a legitimate, top tier quarterback in the NFL? He’s slowly mastering the short routes, finding Wes Welker consistently in the middle of the field for short gains. He still needs to find his range throwing down the field to Moss, but what makes his a significant threat and dangerous QB is his mobility. Brady is mobile, but in a different way. He has tremendous pocket presence and finds small gaps as he eludes tackles, giving himself an extra split second to make a throw. Cassel, however, doesn’t quite have the pocket presence of Brady but makes up for it with his 10 and 15-yard scrambles up field. And he’s got balls too. Most quarterbacks slide in a yard or two shy of the first down marker. But Cassel is separating himself from those guys by working to get those last hard couple yards. It’s dangerous, especially with lord knows who behind him in the depth chart at this point, but he’s making a difference in doing so.
Another thing I enjoyed was the resilience of the Patriots despite spotting the Jets what appeared to be an insurmountable lead early in the game. I have to be honest, last night’s game had the feel of a Red Sox game at Fenway Park. Somehow, you just never sensed this team was out of it. The touchdown before the end of the first half shifted the momentum, and as the defense stepped up in the 3rd quarter holding the Jets at 24 points, you couldn’t help but think a comeback was in order. I couldn’t believe it when I saw people flocking to the exits after Thomas Jones punched one in to take a 31-24 lead with only 3:14 left and the Pats being forced to punt on the ensuing drive. For all those who left, serves you right, you missed a hell of an ending.
See I have a theory about leaving early…I don’t do it. I learned my lesson back in 2000 when my cousin Matt and I went to a Red game against the Devil Rays. It was the 8th inning, tied at 3 and all 6 runs have come via 3 by the Rays in the third and 3 by the Sox in the sixth. It was a fairly unexciting game. To beat traffic, we left in the bottom of the eighth and hit the Red Line to Quincy where he’d parked. While on the train, some guy was listening to the game on his handheld radio cassette player and screamed when he heard Rico Brogna hit a walk-off grand slam to win it in the bottom of the 9th. Rico hit one homerun that year for the Red Sox, and we missed it. Never again.
Finally, it was good to see Jabar Gaffney and Ben Watson step up last night, although Watson had a piss poor, critical fumble to open the 3rd quarter down in Jets territory. But each scored a touchdown with Gaffney adding an extra point, and that’s going to be important for the Pats down the stretch as teams seem to be covering Moss well and Cassel needs to look elsewhere if Welker isn’t freed up.
But one thing that did concern me was the defense and those penalties. The Jets didn’t score for 32 minutes spanning from 5:06 in the 2nd until there was only 3:14 left in the 4th. Solid showing by the Pats D after spotting 24 quick points. But down the stretch, it looked tired and overmatched. Those holding penalties on Vrabel and Sanders in the 4th were desperation moves after getting beat, and the Jets were able to convert two critical 3rd down plays in OT. The worst of which was the 3rd and 15 at their own 15. Favre bought time and hit Keller about 11 or 12 yards down field, and Meriweather was playing too soft a coverage. Not only that, but he got absolutely crushed and run over. I couldn’t help but wonder if the soft coverage was an attempt at preventing getting beat downfield and more or less focusing on damage control.
Nonetheless, I still think I’m in good shape to win my $20 bet with my buddy Scotty. If the Pats go 4-2 down the stretch. Three of those games are against Seattle, Oakland and Buffalo, and you have to think that Miami and Arizona will be winnable. The Steelers game scares me a bit, but the same could be said about the Colts game two weeks ago, a game in which the Pats should have come out on top.
Onto the picks…
Keefe’s picks:
Last week: 9-5; Overall: 69-75
Jets +3.5 over Patriots
Falcons -5.5 over Broncos
Bengals +9.5 over Eagles
Bears +5.5 over Packers
Texans +8.5 over Colts
Chiefs +4.5 over Saints
Raiders +10.5 over Dolphins
Ravens +6.5 over Giants
Buccaneers -3.5 over Vikings
Lions +14.5 over Panthers
Titans -2.5 over Jaguars
49ers -3.5 over Rams
Cardinals -3.5 over Seahawks
Chargers +4.5 over Steelers
Cowboys -1.5 over Redskins
Browns +4.5 over Bills
Besse’s picks:
Last week: 6-8; Overall: 74-70
Jets +3.5 over Patriots
Broncos +5.5 over Falcons
Bengals +9.5 over Eagles
Bears +5.5 over Packers
Texans +8.5 over Colts
Saints -4.5 over Chiefs
Raiders +10.5 over Dolphins
Ravens +6.5 over Giants
Vikings +3.5 over Buccaneers
Lions +14.5 over Panthers
Jaguars +2.5 over Titans **upset special of the week**
Rams +3.5 over 49ers
Cardinals -3.5 over Seahawks
Chargers +4.5 over Steelers
Cowboys -1.5 over Redskins
Browns +4.5 over Bills
Random Rob’s picks
Last week: 9-5; Overall: 83-61
Pats
Falcons
Bengals
Packers
Texans
Chiefs
Dolphins
Giants
Vikings
Panthers
Jags
49ers
Seahawks
Steelers
Cowboys
Browns
Thursday, September 4, 2008
The Sports Brief's NFL Predictions for 2008
And so, here goes nothing...
Division winners:
AFC East
Besse: Patriots
Keefe: Patriots
AFC North
Besse: Steelers
Keefe: Browns
AFC South
Besse: Jaguars
Keefe: Colts
AFC West
Besse: Chargers
Keefe: Chargers
Wildcard
Besse: Colts; Jets
Keefe: Texans; Jets
Wildcard weekend
Besse: Colts over Chargers; Jets over Steelers
Keefe: Colts over Texans; Jets over Browns
Divisional round
Besse: Patriots over Jets; Jaguars over Colts
Keefe: Pats over Jets; Chargers over Colts
AFC Championship
Besse: Patriots over Jaguars
Keefe: Patriots over Chargers
NFC East
Besse: Cowboys
Keefe: Cowboys
NFC North
Besse: Packers
Keefe: Vikings
NFC South
Besse: Saints
Keefe: Saints
NFC West
Besse: Seahawks
Keefe: Seahawks
Wildcard
Besse: Vikings; Giants
Keefe: Eagles; Packers
Wildcard weekend
Besse: Seahawks over Giants; Vikings over Packers
Keefe: Eagles over Vikings; Seahawks over Packers
Divisional round
Besse: Saints over Seahawks; Cowboys over Vikings
Keefe: Cowboys over Seahawks; Saints over Eagles
NFC Championship
Besse: Cowboys over Saints
Keefe: Cowboys over Saints
Super Bowl
Besse: Patriots over Cowboys
Keefe: Patriots over Cowboys
MVP
Besse: Tom Brady, Patriots (let’s face it, this team sucks without him)
Keefe: Tony Romo, Cowboys
Defensive POY
Besse: Patrick Willis, 49ers
Keefe: Mario Williams, Texans
Coach of the Year
Besse: Sean Payton, Saints
Keefe: Romeo Crennel, Browns
Offensive ROY
Besse: Steve Slaton, Texans
Keefe: Chris Johnson, Titans
Defensive ROY
Besse: Vernon Gholston, Jets
Keefe: Jerod Mayo, Patriots
Sleeper team
Besse: Carolina Panthers…to the Super Bowl if Jake Delhomme stays healthy.
Keefe: Have Browns and Texans in the playoffs, but I think the Raiders will surprise as well, maybe 2nd in the AFC West.
As mentioned earlier, The Sports Brief is proud to announce that we will be submitting out picks every week for every NFL game on the schedule. We will keep a running tally for both Besse and Keefe, as well as include picks for the “test dummy.” The test dummy, whom we will call Random Ron, may vary on a weekly basis, but its picks will be made through various activities such as flipping a coin, throwing darts, etc. This week, the test dummy’s picks were made by the flip of a coin. Heads for the home team and tails for the away team.
Without further ado, the picks for Week 1 are…
Besse:
Redskins (+3.5)
Saints (-3.5)
Jets (-2.5)
Bengals (+1.5)
Falcons (+3.5)
Rams (+7.5)
Seahawks (+0.5)
Jaguars (-2.5)
Patriots (-16.5)
Steelers (-6.5)
Chargers (-9.5)
Cowboys (-5.5)
Cardinals (-2.5)
Colts (-9.5)
Vikings (+2.5)
Raiders (+2.5)
Keefe:
Redskins (+3.5)
Saints (-3.5)
Jets (-2.5)
Bengals (+1.5)
Lions (-3.5)
Eagles (-7.5)
Bills (-0.5)
Jaguars (-2.5)
Patriots (-16.5)
Texans (+6.5)
Chargers (-9.5)
Cowboys (-5.5)
49ers (+2.5)
Colts (-9.5)
Vikings (+2.5)
Raiders (+2.5)
Random Ron:
Giants (-3.5)
Saints (-3.5)
Dolphins (+2.5)
Ravens (-1.5)
Falcons (+3.5)
Rams (+7.5)
Seahawks (+0.5)
Titans (+2.5)
Chiefs (+16.5)
Steelers (-6.5)
Panthers (+9.5)
Cowboys (-5.5)
Cardinals (-2.5)
Bears (+9.5)
Vikings (+2.5)
Raiders (+2.5)
Let us know what you think, and feel free to e-mail us sportsbrief@gmail.com
-Bess
