-Keefe
Just a few days before the start of the season let’s take a look at an actual fantasy draft.  How will these teams do?  We won’t find that out until the games are played, but that doesn’t mean I can’t evaluate the picks right now.  Pretty basic set up as you start one player at each position in the field, one utility, and a total of seven pitchers, two must be starters, and two must be relievers.  This is a 10 man league, and for those of you keeping track at home my team is Speaker City.  I’ll try not to gush over my picks too much… even though they were really good.   Ok, here it is.  Border Patrols with the first pick in the 2007 MLB Fantasy Draft…
Round 1
1. Albert Pujols                        Border Patrols
2. Johan Santana                      Everyone Dies
3. Alfonso Soriano                    Kahuna Burger
4. Ryan Howard                       jag swamp
5. Manny Ramírez                    Jack Gordon
6. David Ortiz                           Speaker City
7. Álex Rodríguez                     Team Battle
8. José Reyes                           kef
9. Carlos Beltrán                      Jack Nasty
10. Miguel Cabrera                  Killer Bees
A couple of great players here who I think went a little higher than they should have.  First, I don’t think Ryan Howard can duplicate his numbers from his MVP season from a year ago.  (.313, 58 HR, 149 RBI)  Who’s hitting behind him?  I’ll tell you Pat “the Bat” Burrell and Wes Helms.  Come on, would you pitch to Howard?  It’s not for a lack of talent, but this guy will win walks for you more than the power numbers.  Manny might be a little high here too, been going in a lot of second rounds this year.  But if he plays more than 150 games (which he did in 2003-2005), he is as good as anyone in the game.   
Round 2
1. Vladimir Guerrero                 Killer Bees
2. Lance Berkman                     Jack Nasty
3. Chase Utley                           kef
4. Carl Crawford                       Team Battle
5. Grady Sizemore                   Speaker City
6. Joe Mauer                             Jack Gordon
7. Dontrelle Willis                      jag swamp
8. David Wright                         Kahuna Burger
9. Mark Teixeira                       Everyone Dies
10. Travis Hafner                     Border Patrols
The second round is highlighted by outfielders with both speed and power.  Crawford and Sizemore, particularly look like good picks.  In leagues with a number of offensive categories these guys become extremely valuable.  Crawford hit over .300, had decent pop (18 HR and 77 RBI), but his 58 steals make any fantasy owner happy, not to mention 16 triples last season in Tampa.  He is only getting better too at just 25 years old.  Not to be outdone Sizemore (24 years old) is a definite MVP candidate.  30-30 potential as well as a run scoring machine, 134 in ’06.  Should hit .300 for the first time in his career this year.  Also in round 2 a rare D-Train sighting.  Interesting choice… it took until just the 17th selection to ask the owner of jag swamp if he was in fact attending the draft… appears not, more on this in the later rounds.   
Round 3
1. Chris Carpenter                    Border Patrols
2. Vernon Wells                        Everyone Dies
3. Hanley Ramírez                    Kahuna Burger
4. Ichiro Suzuki                        jag swamp
5. Miguel Tejada                      Jack Gordon
6. Jimmy Rollins                      Speaker City
7. Derek Jeter                          Team Battle
8. Carlos Lee                            kef
9. Andruw Jones                      Jack Nasty
10. Jason Bay                           Killer Bees
The third pitcher taken in the draft (counting Willis) goes with the first pick in round three.  Doesn’t take long for the ’05 NL Cy Young winner to go.  Last years NL Rookie of the Year, Hanley Ramirez, goes here as well, despite a lot of promise (100+ runs last year and 46 SB) surprised he’s selected ahead of other SS like Tejada, Rollins, Jeter, and Young.  Teams also appear to be going hard after OFs as Wells, Ichiro, Lee, Jones, and Bay all fly off the board.  Six OF (seven counting Berkman) go in rounds 1 and 2 while five get picked in round 3 alone.   
Round 4
1. Joe Nathan                           Killer Bees
2. Roy Oswalt                           Jack Nasty
3. Justin Morneau                     kef
4. Derrek Lee                           Team Battle
5. Matt Holliday                       Speaker City
6. Francisco Rodríguez             Jack Gordon
7. Robinson Canó                     jag swamp
8. Roy Halladay                        Kahuna Burger
9. Aramis Ramírez                    Everyone Dies
10. B.J. Ryan                           Border Patrols
The first closer picked starts the round, which prompts two more within the next nine picks.  Definitely three of the best in the game, but maybe a little soon for closers.  Urbina was not available.   I checked.  Oswalt and Halladay go after Dontrelle?  You won’t see that in many drafts this year that don’t involve the Willis family.  Also the gap in 2nd basemen this year shows some as Utley went early second round while Cano goes late fourth.  Probably could have waited even longer for him. 
Round 5
1. Michael Young                      Border Patrols
2. Billy Wagner                         Everyone Dies
3. Víctor Martínez                    Kahuna Burger
4. Brian McCann                       jag swamp
5. Carlos Zambrano                  Jack Gordon
6. Brandon Webb                     Speaker City
7. Daisuke Matsuzaka             Team Battle
8. Bobby Abreu                        kef
9. Chone Figgins                       Jack Nasty
10. Rafael Furcal                      Killer Bees
One of the questions entering the draft is answered here in round 5.  When would Matsuzaka go?  He is picked right after two proven all-stars (Zambrano and Webb).  For 103 million he better pitch like those guys.  Team Battle may be rolling the Dice-Kay on Matsuzaka, but pitching for the Sox, if he’s healthy it would be a real disappointment if he didn’t get at least 15 wins.   
Round 6
1. Jason Varitek                         Killer Bees
2. Troy Glaus                             Jack Nasty
3. Garrett Atkins                       kef
4. Mariano Rivera                     Team Battle
5. Jermaine Dye                        Speaker City
6. Carlos Delgado                      Jack Gordon
7. John Smoltz                           jag swamp
8. Jake Peavy                            Kahuna Burger
9. Johnny Damon                      Everyone Dies
10. C.C. Sabathia                      Border Patrols
It was probably the 11-14 record Peavy posted last year that made him slide all the way down to the eighth pick of round 6.  But the 10th starter taken?  He should rebound this year, and having Hall of Famer Greg Maddux on the team can’t hurt.  Speaking of bounce back years Varitek certainly needs one.  Anyone want someone who will hit .250 with 150 strikeouts?  Troy Glaus is your man.  I know he’ll get 35-100 but good lord. 
Round 7
1. Adam Dunn                          Border Patrols
2. Dan Uggla                             Everyone Dies
3. Paul Konerko                       Kahuna Burger
4. Gary Sheffield                      jag swamp
5. Jonathan Papelbon              Jack Gordon
6. Brian Roberts                       Speaker City
7. Matt Cain                              Team Battle
8. Hideki Matsui                       kef
9. Trevor Hoffman                  Jack Nasty        
10. Richie Sexson                     Killer Bees
Good news.  If you missed your chance on Glaus, I found someone just like him… Adam Dunn.  Except .250 might be a stretch if you look at last years numbers, but don’t fret he struck out more than Glaus.  An incredible 194 times Dunn walked back to the dugout shaking his head.  (One K shy of tying his career high… or low, I’m not sure which.)  For a guy who has hit 40 or more HR three times in his career, he has only toppled the 100 RBI total twice, and barely, 102 in ’04 and 101 in ’05.  He’s good for HR and walks, but will hurt you everywhere in between.  Make sure you have good speed and average guys to team him with.  Two more closers off the board (Papelbon and Hoffman) If Papelbon is healthy he’s one of the best.  All-Star as a rookie last season, but fell a part in the second half. 
Round 8
1. Bronson Arroyo                   Killer Bees
2. Juan Pierre                           Jack Nasty
3. John Lackey                         kef
4. Huston Street                       Team Battle
5. J.J. Putz                                Speaker City
6. Torii Hunter                        Jack Gordon
7. Carlos Guillén                       jag swamp
8. Ben Sheets                           Kahuna Burger
9. Jeremy Bonderman           Everyone Dies
10. Dan Haren                         Border Patrols
After seven rounds everyone checked out their team and realized they had no pitching.  Seven out of ten selections are for arms, with a mixture of starters and closers.  Pierre might only hit a couple more HR than you or I, but his stolen bases make him a good guy to have.  (58 in ’06). 
Round 9
1. Ryan Zimmerman                Border Patrols
2. Édgar Rentería                      Everyone Dies
3. Julio Lugo                             Kahuna Burger
4. Justin Verlander                    jag swamp
5. Curt Schilling                        Jack Gordon
6. Scott Kazmir                        Speaker City
7. J.D. Drew                              Team Battle
8. Félix Hernández                    kef
9. Iván Rodríguez                     Jack Nasty
10. Kenji Johjima                     Killer Bees
Both Red Sox key acquisitions, not named Matsuzaka, get picked up here.  Lugo, if he remains at the top of the lineup should score 100 runs, but watch for Crisp to move up if he struggles.  J.D. Drew has a lot of potential… has since ’98.  Only knocked in 100 runs once in career, last year (exactly 100), and that was in a contract year.  With that said, I still would have taken a chance on him… thought I had another round or two.  
Round 10
1. Scott Rolen                            Killer Bees
2. Randy Johnson                     Jack Nasty
3. Aaron Harang                       kef
4. Ramón Hernández               Team Battle
5. Chipper Jones                       Speaker City
6. Melvin Mora                         Jack Gordon
7. Barry Zito                               jag swamp
8. Jim Thome                            Kahuna Burger
9. Brad Lidge                             Everyone Dies
10. Corey Patterson                 Border Patrols
If we weren’t sure if  jag swamp was in the house before, I think it’s safe to say he’s not.  At least I hope.  After 10 picks, he now has 4 starting pitchers.  FOUR.  (Willis, Smoltz, Verlander, Zito)  For those unfamiliar with the league you start: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, UTIL, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P.  Pitching does win championships.  Not sure if you can say that about fantasy.  Jag swamp is going to try and prove me wrong, and he has a chance week 1 where he kicks off the season against Speaker City.  He better beat me in the pitching stats, my bullpen is pretty lonely thru ten rounds.    
Round 11
1. Eric Gagne                           Border Patrols
2. Todd Helton                         Everyone Dies
3. Bill Hall                                 Kahuna Burger
4. Bob Wickman                      jag swamp
5. Rickie Weeks                       Jack Gordon
6. Francisco Cordero               Speaker City
7. Brett Myers                         Team Battle
8. Rocco Baldelli                       kef
9. Felipe López                         Jack Nasty
10. Tadahito Iguchi                  Killer Bees
This was my favorite round.  Look at some of these picks.  I don’t even know where to begin.  Fine, I’ll start at the top with Eric Gagne.  11th round?  He’s had 9 saves in the last two seasons.  Not sure if he’ll be the same… or even the closer for the Rangers, who still have Akinori Otsuka (32 saves in ’06) on the roster.  Then Gagne gets lit up like a Christmas Tree in spring training, and now will begin the season on the DL.  I’d say more but round 11 brought so much.  Second pick of the round was former all-star Todd Helton, whose batting average and home runs have declined in each of the last four seasons.  Nice.  Throw out the 35 games he played in ’97, last year Helton had his worst avg., .305 and fewest HRs, 15.  Don’t count on him for anything other than a good name.  After Team Battle selected Brett Myers I quickly checked to see if hitting your wife in public was a category… it’s not.    
Round 12
1. Magglio Ordóñez                  Killer Bees
2. Nomar Garciaparra              Jack Nasty
3. Jered Weaver                       kef
4. Prince Fielder                       Team Battle
5. Mike Piazza                         Speaker City
6. Raúl Ibañez                         Jack Gordon
7. Joel Zumaya                         jag swamp
8. Chad Cordero                      Kahuna Burger
9. Chris Young                         Everyone Dies
10. Alex Gordon                      Border Patrols
Draft more than half over, I’ll keep it short and sweet here on out.  I like Piazza, not just cause I picked him, but because he’s DHing with C eligibility.  Joel Zumaya may throw 103 mph, but if he’s not closing I’m not sure how valuable he is, especially in the 12th round.  Who picked him?  Damn it jag swamp… he’s shooting for the best staff ever.  He’s building a MLB team, not a fantasy team.  I better beat him.  Side note: anyone realize Ibanez’s numbers last year, .289, 33 HR, 123 RBI?  Yikes.  He had more RBI than Manny, ARod, Vlad, Tejada, Hafner, Beltran, Wright, Lee, Dye, Delgado…  Good for him.  Who knows if he does it again, but in the 12th round, great stuff.  
Round 13
1. Coco Crisp                           Border Patrols
2. Willy Taveras                      Everyone Dies
3. Tom Gordon                        Kahuna Burger
4. Tim Hudson                         jag swamp
5. Chris Ray                             Jack Gordon
6. Bobby Jenks                        Speaker City
7. Armando Benítez                  Team Battle
8. Cole Hamels                          kef
9. Josh Beckett                         Jack Nasty
10. Brian Fuentes                     Killer Bees
Couple of guys in their second season for my Red Sox.  I like both picks as I believe both Crisp and Becket will rebound from disappointing starts in Boston.  Crisp may move back to the lead off spot if he shows promise in the bottom of the lineup and Lugo struggles.  But he may run more hitting 7th or 8th, since Ortiz and Manny aren’t coming right up. 
Round 14
1. Mike Mussina                       Killer Bees
2. Todd Jones                           Jack Nasty
3. Jorge Posada                         kef
4. Rich Harden                          Team Battle
5. Delmon Young                      Speaker City
6. Mike González                      Jack Gordon
7. Mike Cameron                      jag swamp
8. Nick Swisher                        Kahuna Burger
9. A.J. Pierzynski                     Everyone Dies
10. Álex Ríos                            Border Patrols
Delmon Young could be a sleeper, and he could be back in the minors, but in the 14th round not a bad choice.  He went after Gordon and Matsusaka, two other rookies receiving a lot of press this spring.  Mike Gonzalez?  Not in Pitt anymore, and like Zumaya, setting up ball games.  “Holds” aren’t a category in this league…yet.  The commissioner picked Gonzalez.  
Round 15
1. Howie Kendrick                   Border Patrols
2. Jason Schmidt                      Everyone Dies
3. Barry Bonds                         Kahuna Burger
4. Adrián Béltre                        jag swamp
5. Eric Chávez                           Jack Gordon
6. Mark Teahen                        Speaker City
7. Ken Griffey Jr.                      Team Battle
8. José Valverde                       kef
9. Jeff Francoeur                      Jack Nasty
10. Jason Isringhausen Killer Bees
Bonds falls all the way into the 15th round.  At this point a good time to take a risk on guys, that’s why you see Griffey and Francoeur also get snagged. 
Round 16
1. Pedro Martínez                     Killer Bees
2. Derek Lowe                          Jack Nasty
3. Joe Borowski                        kef
4. Jason Giambi                        Team Battle
5. Adam LaRoche                    Speaker City
6. Kevin Youkilis                      Jack Gordon
7. Scott Podsednik                   jag swamp
8. Nick Markakis                     Kahuna Burger
9. Jeff Kent                              Everyone Dies
10. Bartolo Colón                     Border Patrols
Seeing Pedro and Lowe go back-to-back makes me think of the ’04 Red Sox.  I know Pedro is hurt, but maybe if they still had both of those guys they wouldn’t have felt the need to trade Hanley Ramirez away, as well as everyone else from that championship team.  Unreal.  Arroyo for Wily Mo Pena was a good deal.  Jesus.  Speaking of the Sox I think Youk will have his best season to date. 
Round 17
1. A.J. Burnett                           Border Patrols
2. Ryan Dempster                     Everyone Dies
3. Roger Clemens                     Kahuna Burger
4. Matt Capps                          jag swamp
5. Erik Bedard                         Jack Gordon
6. Dave Bush                            Speaker City
7. Freddy Sánchez                    Team Battle
8. Josh Barfield                         kef
9. Rich Hill                               Jack Nasty
10. Shea Hillenbrand                Killer Bees
Man, more former sox.  (Clemens, Sanchez, and Hillenbrand.)  Kahuna Burger has himself a nice clubhouse with Bonds and Clemens.  Goodluck with that.  “Mmm that is a tasty burger.” 
Round 18
1. Pat Burrell                            Killer Bees
2. Morgan Ensberg                   Jack Nasty
3. Hank Blalock                       kef
4. Luke Scott                           Team Battle
5. Brandon Phillips                    Speaker City
6. Mark DeRosa                      Jack Gordon
7. Joe Crede                            jag swamp
8. Takashi Saito                        Kahuna Burger
9. Moisés Alou                         Everyone Dies
10. Michael Barrett                   Border Patrols
Backing up my point that followed round 1, Ryan Howard goes #4 overall, and the guy hitting behind him… 171.  Think about that for a second. 
Round 19
1. Jon Garland                          Border Patrols
2. Ryan Shealy                         Everyone Dies
3. Chien-Ming Wang                Kahuna Burger
4. Stephen Drew                      jag swamp
5. Paul Lo Duca                       Jack Gordon
6. Orlando Cabrera                  Speaker City
7. Chad Tracy                          Team Battle
8. Chris Capuano                     kef
9. Octavio Dotel                       Jack Nasty
10. Akinori Otsuka                   Killer Bees
Hey it’s the SS from the 2004 Boston Red Sox, Orlando Cabrera!  Also a number of pitchers taken, could be some steals. 
Round 20
1. Bobby Crosby                      Killer Bees
2. Kenny Rogers                      Jack Nasty
3. Nick Johnson                       kef
4. Ian Kinsler                            Team Battle
5. Frank Thomas                      Speaker City
6. Adam Wainwright                 Jack Gordon
7. Ervin Santana                       jag swamp
8. Ray Durham                         Kahuna Burger
9. Ryan Freel                            Everyone Dies
10. Adrián González                 Border Patrols
Remember when Bobby Crosby won rookie of the year?  Do you remember when he was healthy?  I don’t.  Hey Ryan Freel you get to take over CF for the best guy ever to play there in our life time.  Don’t worry he’ll be watching you from Right.  No pressure. 
Round 21
1. John Patterson                      Border Patrols
2. Brandon Inge                        Everyone Dies
3. Jim Edmonds                        Kahuna Burger
4. Eric Byrnes                           jag swamp
5. Michael Cuddyer                  Jack Gordon
6. Salomón Torres                    Speaker City
7. Tom Glavine                         Team Battle
8. Mark Prior                           kef
9. Corey Hart                           Jack Nasty
10. Marcus Giles                      Killer Bees
And it’s over.  Mark Prior will be on the DL or in AAA, but who cares, most of these guys taken in the last round will get dumped the first week of the season for someone who came out of no where, or someone we just forgot.   Glavine needs 10 wins for 300, after he gets them he may just hang em up, that night.
That’s it.  Can’t wait for the season to start on Sunday night.  Everyone is just hoping that their players make them look smart.  Maybe Willis will be worth a 2nd round pick?  Maybe Gagne will be back this year… well, what can you do? 
If you want to comment on this draft, or something I wrote, send me an e-mail at sportsbrief@gmail.com.  Check back soon as Besse, Shark, and I will make our MLB predictions on who’s making the playoffs, winning the World Series, as well as winning all the awards: MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie.  
Rich Keefe
 
1 comment:
Good post.
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