Thursday, June 28, 2007

One Last Thing: Celts, Trades, and Draft

-Keefe

First of all, the draft is just hours away, so I apologize if I’m just too excited/ nervous for any of this to make sense. I want to take a look at papa shark’s incredible insight into the Celtics’ roster. What do they need to do to become a dominant presence in the league? His answer: Defense. And I don’t think you can argue that after watching (or hearing about, since no one watched) the Spurs dismantle the sorry Cleveland Cavs. What about the Suns? Well even though they allow over 102 points per night, they still have Shawn Marion and Raja Bell, two shut down defenders, plus their style of “8 seconds or less” sways their statistics both offensively and defensively.

The Celtics don’t have one lockdown defender. Rajon Rondo and Tony Allen are two guys who showed promise last season, but neither are quite there yet. As horrible as Gerald Green may have been at that end of the court, you would think a player of his athletic ability, should be able to learn D. Right? Well Doc Rivers is not known for developing young talent. Just ask Tracy McGrady when he was with Orlando. Besides Al Jefferson name one young player who improved under Rivers’ “tutelage.” Actually try naming a player who hasn’t regressed. Perk’s points and rebounds were both down from the previous season. Telfair had career lows in both points and assists. Some of the other youngsters stats may have improved, but the injuries of Pierce and Wally as well as the “let’s see what these guys can do, and if we lose that’s ok” minutes they received in their efforts to get Oden or Durant.

“To trade or not to trade?” I think the question is more simply, who to trade? One way or another this team needs to make a trade. Whether it’s the No. 5 pick, which Danny Ainge is claiming to keep at this point, or Jefferson, Green, even Pierce. If Boston keeps the 5th overall pick as well as Big Al, what does Pierce do? He probably demands a trade, and who could blame him. If you’re not going to go for the gusto, i.e. Garnett, Marion, or even Kirilenko, why make Pierce suffer through another season in which the Celtic fans will be on the Love, Beasley, Mayo bandwagon for next year’s draft. The only way I could see both Jefferson and Pierce on the same team next season is if a guy like AK-47, Marion (if he’ll play more than 1 season) or Ron Artest, all great defensive players, joins them. Just the 5th pick, whether its Corey Brewer, Jeff Green, or Yi Jianlian, is not going to propel them deep into the playoffs.

A perimeter defender like Artest, AK and Marion (at times, they can do a little of everything), even Brewer or Green (I like Green more than Brewer), are more important to the Celtics than a big man in the middle. Is it nice to have a dominant low post guy? Of course. But particularly in the East, it’s not essential by any means. The list of guys I just mentioned will have the task of guarding the likes of LeBron, Wade, Vince, Rip Hamilton, Arenas, Ben Gordon, Caron Butler, Richard Jefferson, Iguodala, Redd, Joe Johnson and others. Right now Jefferson and Perk (who certainly aren’t great defenders) have to put up with… let’s see… Zydrunas Ilgauskas won the East, Dwight Howard will be a force, but right now just dunks. Bosh is solid, but like Big Al, more of a 4 than a 5. Looking at the studs in the East, wouldn’t you rather have perimeter defenders than low post guys? If I have to watch someone like Mo Williams, Ty Lue, or Chucky Atkins have a career night in the TD Banknorth one more time I might lose it. So defense is a must. What else can they do?

Why not trade Pierce? I hate the thought, especially after watching this team lose a franchise record 18 straight games, with the Truth missing the majority of them. Boston had 11 players see court time last year who were born in 1982 or later. And if they keep this draft pick, there will be yet another. Pierce, 30 in October, doesn’t need to baby sit these guys. If they keep the 5th pick, and that’s a big IF right now, see what you can get for Pierce. Ben Gordon, Ty Thomas, the No. 9 pick? Maybe I’m overvaluing Pierce, but he’s one of the best players in the league, I’d argue that with anyone. Pierce is the difference for some playoff teams, like the Bulls, to become championship teams.

Clearly Ainge and the Celtics have a lot of decisions to make. If they stand pat and just make their two picks tonight (5 and 32), they will have failed, again. They need to do something. We’ve given them plenty of ideas. Garnett (if he will stay) for No. 5, Jefferson, Telfair, Ratliff. Marion (also if he will stay) for the No. 5 and Ratliff in the three teamer. AK-47 for Green, Allen, Wally, and a future pick. Ron Artest for a similar package. For the record I do not want Jermaine O’Neal, thanks. Or go the other way with it, and trade the captain. Do something. I can not wait for tonight. I’ll be back soon with all my reactions to the draft, with all the winners and losers. Let’s just hope the Celtics fall in that “winners” category. Goodluck tonight and I hope your team makes the right choices.


-Rich Keefe

In Response to "Countdown to the Draft"

This was a comment left by papa shark, following my last article. It provides a ton of great breakdown of the current Boston Celtics roster, and what it will take to make them a championship team, as far off as that seems. Here is his comment, and then I will follow that up.

papa shark says:

To trade or not to trade?---That is the question! But the larger question continues to be, "What is the Ainge plan for winning an NBA title?" (I'm tired of hearing about making the playoffs only---Red Auerbach is turning over in his grave listening to "making the playoffs" talk , rather than "winning a championship" talk).

It's obvious that CHAMPIONSHIPS begin with defense, end with defense, and feature a blend of youth, experience, chemistry, and did I mention DEFENSE? Do you absolutely need 3 great players as many experts claim? No! Do you absolutely need an all-star center and an all-star scorer? Not necessarily, but DEFENSE is a must!

So who on the Celtics can(or will) defend, and is Doc Rivers the right coach to teach & demand team defense? When the C's were embarking upon the run for Greg Oden in the 2nd half of the 2006-2007 season, they turned a number of 6-20 point 3rd quarter leads into losses simply by playing Telfair, Ray & Green at the same time down the stretch.---that trio flat out could not (Telfair would not) defend! Therefore, Telfair is toast, Ray's services are no longer needed, and Green's future(despite his jump shot & obvious quickness)is very much in question. DOC's future should also be in question since he's given no evidence over the past few years that he can teach defense!

Let's start with the bigs:

JEFFERSON---He's quicker than ever, he's stronger than ever, and he blocks shots more regularly now. But can he defend against a 5 with better than average lowpost offensive skills? On most nights, the answer is "No!" Alternatively, can Big Al defend 4's? Well, let's just say that his defense has improved in the last year, but that he's not even close to being considered a lock down defender. Duncan and Bowen are lock down defenders, while Ginobili, Oberto, and Parker play well within Greg Popovich's defensive scheme. I love Garnett not just because of his offense (which is 5 times more diverse than Big Al's) but because Garnett is a mobile, strong,rebounding & shot-blocking presence in the lane! Jefferson is still a loooong way from Garnett defensively!

PERKINS---He's much stronger than Jefferson, is more willing to bang, but can't stay on the court(due to fouls) for more than 15-20 minutes per game. On a championship team, Perk is a backup.

PIERCE---He can rebound when he so desires, and the refs do let him get away with more on both offense & defense. He's strong and can play offense (if it's not run & gun) for 30+ minutes per night. Given his age and his body type, his durability is now a question, along with his gamein/game out commitment to playing defense. (In addition, if the C's are ever to become a championship caliber team with Pierce, Pierce has to let the point guard, not Pierce, run the offense!)

GOMES---He showed a more consistent defensive effort 2 years ago. On what playoff team would Gomes start? Sorry, he's at best a 6th or 7th man on a serious playoff team, i.e. not quite big/string enough to be a power forward, not quite quick enough or with enough range to play the "3", and not the lock-down defender we're looking for.

ALLEN---He's strong, plays with grit, has well above average quickness on the perimeter, and will rebound and then run the break. His knee injuries are killers, i.e. can he come back again and have the same quickness and jumping ability? If yes, then Tony has a chance to become an all-NBA defender. So don't trade him!

RONDO---He's so quick & disrupts defensively by leaving his man to make weakside/ blindside steals. He also rebounds, is surprisingly tough battling for balls in the lane, and runs the break! However, his on the ball defense is just ok in that he gets picked off & sealed far too often (Maybe that's a function of the lack of team defense not being taught/demanded by Doc?). Like Allen, Rondo also has a chance to someday be an all-NBA defender (If only he had a jump shot!). Don't trade him!

WEST---He's tough, determined, competes every night, but is not quite qick enough to consistently defend the quick point guards. He's best suited to coming off the bench as a replacement for your 1 or 2 guards.( How is it possible that he has no right hand dribble moves at all?)

WALLY---He's too slow, has no defensive quickness, and is an offensive player only. On an NBA championship team, he can only come in off the bench and play the role of Vinnie "the microwave" Johnson.

GERALD GREEN---one of the worst defensive players in the league, despite his incredible athleticism. Green's inability to play defense again makes one ask, "Can Doc teach/demand individual and team defense?"

TEAM NEEDS---1) The "5" who can muscle with other 5's & control the paint on defense. Perk will give you 15 minutes per night---Who will give you 30 minutes? Garnett can right now & so can Kirilenko. Shawn Marion will not and he's not a 5 or a true 4. It's too bad that Horford won't be there at the 5th pick in the draft (Sorry Rich, I think Horford will be a beast in the NBA), and that Sean Williams is such a gamble because of off the court issues. 2) The perimeter defender, the Bruce Bowen clone is also needed---Maybe it's Tony Allen, maybe it's Corey Brewer! Maybe it's an unknown European ballplayer to be taken in the 2nd round, 3) A point guard to lead both the offense and the defense---Rondo is not quite ready yet for 30+ minutes of point guard leadership. Chauncey Billips, Andre Miller? Those are the kind of point guards that are needed to let Rondo develop within the next few years. Who is available, and what the salary cap implications would be are tough questions.

WHO TO DRAFT? Yi has the most upside( 7 footer, quick, agile,a shooter and perhaps a shot blocker); Brewer fills an immediate and long term defensive need; Jeff Green could replace Pierce if Pierce is traded,and Sean Williams looks like the best defensive big man available in the draft.

Would I trade Jefferson for Garnett? Absolutely,but only if Garnett would stay for more than 1 year. Would I trade the 5th pick for Shawn Marion (world's ugliest jump shot)? Only if Marion stays for more that 1 year. Would I trade for Kirilenko? Yes, but don't give up Allen, Rondo, or Jefferson.

Draft night should be interesting!

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Countdown to the Draft

-Keefe

With seven days and counting until the NBA Draft, I thought about updating my mock draft. After giving it a closer look, I’m not sure I have any better answers than I did before. Besides the obvious change of DeVon Hardin from Cal, (who I had 30th overall, just bump Gasol up) who is returning to school, I didn’t want to switch anyone. The risk you run when you make multiple mock drafts is similar to creating multiple brackets for the NCAA tourney. Sure I could say the updated one is the only one that counts, but then when I get more right on my initial attempt, I’d try to lean toward that one. I only fill out one bracket, and I’m only going to do one mock draft. Word is Horford will be picked 3rd over Conley, and the Ohio St. point guard drops to 4th. Again, I still don’t see Horford being a dominant player, and feel the Hawks should pick Conley. But enough about the soon-to-be rookies, I stand by my original choices, I want to address some of the many rumors floating around the league.

Some of the biggest names in the game are being discussed right now: Kobe Bryant, Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, and Shawn Marion to name a few. Where will these superstars be playing next season, and how important will the draft be in attempts to acquire them? Let’s first examine a trade rumor surrounding my team, the Boston Celtics.

Al Jefferson, Gerald Green, Sebastian Telfair, Ratliff/ Wally contract, and the No. 5 pick for Kevin Garnett.

So potentially the C’s would be trading an entire lineup for the 10 time All-Star. And you know what, if I’m either team here, I do it. For one the T-Wolves, who are stuck in the dominant Western Conference aren’t going to win anytime soon. They might as well build around some young guns and hope to win in a few years when guys like Nash, Duncan, Dirk, and Kobe are on their way out. You bring in Jefferson, Green, Telfair (who I don’t think is done, he’d be entering his senior year at Louisville right now had he gone that route), and the No. 5 pick, and combine them with the No. 7 pick, Randy Foye, Craig Smith, and Rashad McCants (who maybe can do something), and that’s a young and exciting team. The Celtics on the other hand have two top 10 players in the Eastern Conference. LeBron won the East on his own; I think Pierce and Garnett could do pretty well together. Garnett could opt out of his contract at the end of the year, and that scares me, but if the Celts do go through with this trade they would need to address that. Also I would be much more comfortable with this trade if Boston just switch picks (the 5th and 7th) rather than just tossing away their first rounder in this loaded draft. Should be interesting to see what happens.

What about Garnett to the Bulls or Suns? I don’t know. I think the Celtics have the best chance if they are willing to part with Al Jefferson, who will be an All-Star for years to come, as well as other young parts, like Green and a draft pick. There’s no way the Suns give up Amare, nor should they. And that might be the only way to get Garnett away from Minnesota and to Phoenix.

The Bulls are intriguing as they talk about Garnett as well as Kobe. They are not that far off from winning the East, and how much would they have to give up in order to acquire one of these studs? Gordon, Deng, Thomas, the No. 9 pick, all of these names have been thrown about. Why are they in so much of a rush? I know every team wants to win now, but when they have a solid young squad, why not keep them together? Salaries can screw that up, but a nucleus of Hinrich, Gordon, Deng, Thomas, and their lottery pick could be competitive for a long time. Teams like the Celtics or Suns who have Paul Piece and Steve Nash need to win now.

The Suns are already “winning.” No they haven’t won the championship, but it’s clear they’re on the right track. But what if they get rid of Shawn Marion? I think he’s far more important than anyone thinks. And why would he want to play anywhere else, unless Nash was going with him? I don’t get it. I like the rumor of the Clips sending Corey Maggette and the No. 14 to the Suns for Boris Diaw, the No. 24, and No. 29 picks. Phoenix probably won’t keep the two picks anyway, so this would be a great move. Also Maggette could provide some of the scoring they would lose with Marion, but the Matrix’s defense may not be replaceable. If Marion wants to get out of Amare’s shadow, maybe Boston would be a place he could do that.

Pierce and Marion, although not as daunting as Piece and KG, could still do damage in the East. Also you would assume Ainge wouldn’t have to give up nearly as much to get Marion. But here’s the dilemma. Yes you may have to give up a lot in order to get a big name veteran to go along with Pierce, but you would be winning, and not losing 18 straight and playing for a top pick in next year’s draft. If the Celtics do keep Pierce, I believe they owe it to him to go out and get either Garnett or Marion. But if they decide not to bring in a superstar, maybe, as much as it pains me to say it, they should part with Pierce and get some more valuable young parts.

I’ll finish with this. Next year’s Boston Celtics rotation should look like one of these, and not a hybrid.

A. Pierce, Garnett, West, Rondo, Gomes, Perkins, Allen, Dudley (with the 32nd pick)

Or (using a Pierce for Gordon and the No. 9 pick, as well as a third team to make the money work trade)

B. Jefferson, Ben Gordon, Al Thornton, Yi Jianlian, Rondo, West, Green, Allen.

All these rumors and mock drafts are driving me crazy. Bring on June 28!


-Rich Keefe

Thursday, June 14, 2007

NBA Mock Draft '07

-Keefe

With the NBA Finals just about over, (not sure Cleveland knew they even started), let’s look ahead to one of the greatest nights in sports, the NBA Draft. June 28th, I can’t wait. Here’s how I see it breaking down. And look, both rounds!

Round 1:

1. Blazers- Greg Oden, C, Ohio St.

Not much to really say here. I’m not going to go out on a limb and say anyone else but Oden will be the first pick later this month. If they can pull off the Zach Randolph for Antawn Jamison trade look out for the Blazers. With a starting five of Jack, Roy, Jamison, Aldridge, Oden… fans and Portland would certainly have something to cheer about.

2. Sonics- Kevin Durant, F, Texas
Couldn’t bench press 185 pounds once. Not once. Really? I think most bloggers can bench 185. I know that you’re not allowed to write for the Sports Brief unless you can. But the fact is he still was the most dominant player in the country last year, and not even 20 years old he will get stronger. When he’s making 10+ million a year he can sit in his mansion and laugh at me while I put up 185 at the local Y. And yes, as a Celtics fan, as soon as I heard about his workout I thought for a second he could slip to 5th. I can wish right?

3. Hawks- Mike Conley, PG, Ohio St.
They can’t pass up another point guard can they? Apparently they didn’t want Deron Williams, Chris Paul, or even Ray Felton two years ago. Last year they passed up on Brandon Roy (I know he’s a SG, but still rookie of the year) and Randy Foye. They also could have traded down for someone like Rajon Rondo, Marcus Williams, or Jordan Farmar. Don’t think Ty Lue is the answer down in Atlanta.


4. Grizzlies- Al Horford, PF, Florida
Florida big man shouldn’t fall past Memphis here at four. Yes they would really like Oden, and with the league’s worst record probably feel like they “deserve” him, but as it shook out they have the fourth selection. Horford is probably more suited for a power forward role in the West, but with Pau Gasol, Hakim Warrick, Rudy Gay, and Stromile Swift he quickly becomes the best option at center. Frankly not a big fan and I don’t expect big things from Horford. I hope the Grizz take him just so the Celtics can’t screw it up.


5. Celtics- Yi Jianlian, F, China
Yi or bust. And by bust I mean trade the damn pick. If the C’s keep this pick and do not use it to acquire someone like a Shawn Marion or Rashad Lewis I hope they go with Yi. No one knows a whole lot about him minus all the youtube clips, but after Oden and Durant there’s no one who really jumps out at me. I’ve heard comparisons to Yao Ming, Amare Stoudemire, and even Allen Iverson. Of course he could also be the next Nikoloz Tskitishvili… wait he was also the 5th pick? Damn it. I still can’t believe Oden or Durant won’t be playing in Boston next year. Unbelievable.


6. Bucks- Corey Brewer, SF, Florida
I really believe that Brewer will end his career as the best pro of all the Gators he won back to back championships with, and it won’t be close. He has great skills, and if he works at it, he could survive in this league with his defense alone. Horford is overrated, Noah is an Anderson Varejao with college experience, and Green is a back up point guard at best. If Milwaukee resigns Mo Williams, they could have a solid five with him, Redd, Brewer, Villanueva, and Bogut. Yeah they would definitely rather have Durant, but for a team that tanked even worse than the Celtics or Grizzlies they really earned the 6th pick.


7. Timberwolves- Brandan Wright, PF, North Carolina
By picking up Brandan Wright, the T-Wolves could think about moving Kevin Garnett, even though he will never ask to be traded. Draft Wright, and build around him, Randy Foye and Craig Smith. Maybe McCants will even find his game, and with whatever they get from the Garnett deal the future could be bright.


8. Bobcats- Jeff Green, SF, Georgetown
Though he isn’t a great scorer Green can do just about everything. Charlotte is stacking up some talent of college stars, but has yet to become any kind of threat in the league. Felton, Okafor, and May are three up and coming players, while Morrison proved to be more of a liability for this team. Green’s defense could possibly make up for the mustached one, but if Morrison shoots 37% from the field again he won’t even be out there.


9. Bulls from Knicks- Spencer Hawes, C, Washington
How the hell does a team with young stars of Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Kirk Hinrich, and supporting guys like Ty Thomas, Andres Nocioni, and Chris Duhon have a top 10 pick? Oh that’s right, I forgot about the Knicks. Good thing they got rid of Tyson Chandler or this team might have been too good through 2017. I’m not sure how good Hawes will be, but he’s the obvious choice here because of his size and low post scoring.


10. Kings- Julian Wright, PF, Kansas
Not much offense here either out of Wright. But in Sacramento most of the offense comes from the backcourt anyway, all they need out of him is solid defense and to catch some ally-oops. This shows what a crap shoot the lottery is. After Oden and Durant there’s a lot of solid guys with potential, but there’s a great chance at some busts as well. If Conley goes 3rd to the Hawks you’re looking at picks 4-14 being anyone’s guess as far as who will come out of this as winners.


11. Hawks from Pacers- Joakim Noah, PF, Florida
Speaking of winners, this “guy” did a lot of that at Florida. I already made the comparison to Anderson Varejao, and I’m standing by it. Varejao was the last pick of the 2004 draft, and averaged under 7 points and 7 boards this year. So why would you pick him with a lottery pick? He may surprise people and play like a poor man’s AK-47… and the way AK played this season, a poor man’s Kirilenko doesn’t even belong in the league.


12. 76ers- Al Thornton, F, Florida St.
Thornton had some huge games against some great teams. Keeping in mind who is on these teams check out the numbers from: vs. Florida- 28 pts 9 reb, @ UNC 29 pts 12 rebs, @ UVA 30 pts 16 rebs, and you can also throw in a 45 point performance at Miami and you can say this guy made the most out of his senior season with the Seminoles. He’s been compared to Shawn Marion, and if the 76ers take him and have him play along side Iguodala they could be scary.


13. Hornets- Nick Young, SG, USC
Nick Young could be the missing piece for the Hornets that helps get them into the postseason. He’s a silky smooth scoring wingman that would compliment their fantastic point guard Chris Paul, and their bruising low post scorer David West. Young really improved his three point shooting from his sophomore season (33%) to his junior year (44%) at USC. Still pretty raw, but I like this pick for the Hornets over anyone else who is available.


14. Clippers- Acie Law, PG, Texas A&M
They should have their point guard of the future in Shaun Livingston, who’s actually younger than Law, but after the horrific injury the Clippers may have to select yet another PG with a lottery pick. The team regressed this past season, but a proven winner like Acie Law could give them the push they need to get back to the playoffs.


15. Pistons from Magic- Rodney Stuckey, SG, Eastern Washington
Playing out in the Big Sky not a lot of people have seen or even heard of Stuckey. I’m not going to lie and say that I caught many Eastern Washington games this season, but from what I’ve heard about this guy he could land right in the middle of round 1. He’s a scoring machine who can also dish the ball making him twice as valuable. The Pistons have no bench, particularly at guard, so picking a combo guard like Stuckey would be wise.


16. Wizards- Thaddeus Young, SF, Georgia Tech
One and done at G. Tech for Young. Another guy who would be picked mainly on potential, but if the Wizards to get rid of Antawn Jamison, suddenly they need some help at that position. Who knows what will happen with Arenas, but with Agent Zero, Caron Butler, and Thaddeus Young they’d certainly be a team you wouldn’t want to miss.


17. Nets- Sean Williams, C, Boston College
If Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, and Richard Jefferson are all back on the Nets next season, (I doubt they will be, but for this let’s say they are), then they need something up front. No one on New Jersey last year averaged 1.0 blocks per game. Williams would be an instant force in the middle for a team that not only needs a low post stopper but also a scoring threat.


18. Warriors- Jason Smith, PF, Colorado St.
Big guy who can get up and down the floor, would be perfect for Nellie Ball. He can even shoot the 3 a little, and make free throws, something that killed the Warriors last year. Showed he could rebound last year as he averaged a double-double for the Rams. Smith would definitely work his way into that short Nellie rotation.


19. Lakers- Josh McRoberts, PF, Duke
If Noah and Horford are going to be busts, I don’t even know what to call McRoberts. A top pick if he left after his freshmen year, McRoberts returned to school for a disappointing season at Duke. He and the team struggled and now he finds himself dropping to 19, at best. I think he should go even lower, but the Lakers might try to take a big name.


20. Heat- Javaris Crittenton, PG, Georgia Tech
Jason Williams is 31, Gary Payton (if he returns) is 38. The Heat are an old team, average age of last year’s squad was 29. Crittenton (19) and Wade (25) could be the backcourt in Miami for years to come. Javaris, like Thaddeus Young is another one and done Yellow Jacket. We’ll have to wait and see how they do, but one thing is for sure, the rest of the ACC is happy with their decisions to go pro.


21. 76ers from Nuggets- Tiago Splitter, PF, Brazil
With the second of their three first round picks the 6ers take a chance on an international player that has garnered a lot of hype the past few years. If they do take Thornton with their first pick, then every else would be gravy. It’s not 100% that he would be able to play next year in the NBA, so a team with multiple picks, like Philly, might feel like they can take a shot on him.


22. Bobcats from Raptors- Morris Almond, SG, Rice
Almond is a great scorer and fantastic shooter. Playing for a team that didn’t receive much coverage, Morris is a bit under the radar. With three straight seasons shooting over 44% from long range, he might be the best shooter in the draft. What Jeff Green brings in defense and intangibles, Almond brings in offense. These two guys could help turn around the bobcats entire franchise.


23. Knicks from Bulls- Aaron Gray, C, Pitt
I really don’t think the Knicks will pick Aaron Gray, but come on. Imagine all the New York fans as the commissioner announces: “With the 23rd pick, the New York Knicks select… Aaron Gray.” Even David Stern would smirk at that one. I hope this happens.


24. Suns from Cavs- Derrick Byars, SF, Vanderbilt
Byars really put Commodore basketball on the map this past season, helping Vandy reach the Sweet 16. He can play the 2 or the 3, and run the floor, which of course is essential for playing in Phoenix. It’s going to be real interesting to see what the Suns do this off season. If they lose Marion, what will they do to remind in the top tier of the West?


25. Jazz- Daequan Cook, SG, Ohio St.
As seen in the Western Conference playoffs the Jazz have a lot of pieces to the puzzle. An athletic, scoring shooting guard, is not one of those pieces. Cook might be better suited for another year with the Buckeyes, but with the loss of Oden and Conley, as well as Ron Lewis, you can’t blame him for cashing in on the team’s success. Cook could be that missing ingredient the Jazz need to advance to the NBA Finals. Could be.


26. Rockets- Glen Davis, PF, LSU
His buddy and Final 4 partner from two years ago, Ty Thomas, was a top 5 pick. Big Baby returned for his junior year, and is now a borderline first rounder. Rockets could use another big body to play upfront with Yao. Hayes has played well, Howard has also played. Who knows what you’ll get out of Mt. Mutombo this year, so a big guy like Davis would be a nice pick for Houston.


27. Pistons- Gabe Pruitt, PG, USC
I already had the Pistons taking a big combo guard in Stuckey earlier in the draft, here with their second pick I think they go after another player to bolster the backcourt. Pruitt is a big point guard who should be able to do a lot of the same things as Billups. He put up three solid seasons at USC, and I believe will be good pro.


28. Spurs- Ali Traore, PF, France
Does it matter who they take? International seems to be working for them. Why not take another guy from France. He’s a big fella to boot. I got nothing more on him. I’m sick of the Spurs too. Who’s with me?


29. Suns- Rudy Fernandez, SG, Spain
Word is the Suns won’t hang on to this pick. It’s going to be a busy off season for Phoenix. Steve Kerr will have a lot to examine. They have two first round picks, as well as the whole Shawn Marion situation. And with Nash being 33 years old, they need to really get after it the next couple seasons for their best chance of winning the whole thing.


30. 76ers from Mavericks- DeVon Hardin, C, California

Not officially staying in the draft as of yet, but Hardin is big and athletic. Still a bit of a work in progress, one reason he could return to school. The 6ers have three first rounders, they don’t have a great track record of drafting, see: John Salmons, Keith Van Horn, and Shawn Bradley, or they take guys who become good in other places like Larry Hughes and Jerry Stackhouse. Who knows if they’ll hold on to all three guys. The Celts had three first round picks once: Joe Johnson, Kedrick Brown, and Joe Forte in 2001… its ok, I’m almost over it. Not like they passed on Gilbert Arenas three times.


Round 2:
I’ll spare you my pick by pick take in Round 2, as the chances of any of these coming true are as likely as the Olsen twins NOT doing Playboy.

31. Sonics from Grizzlies- Marc Gasol, C, Spain

32. Celtics- Jared Dudley, F, Boston College

33. Spurs from Bucks- Marco Belinelli, SG, Italy

34. Mavericks from Hawks- Taurean Green, PG, Florida

35. Sonics- Marcus Williams, SF, Arizona

36. Warriors from Timberwolves- Arron Afflalo, SG, UCLA

37. Blazers- Alando Tucker, SF, Wisconsin

38. 76ers from Knicks via Bulls- Dominic James, PG, Marquette

39. Magic from Kings via Jazz- Demetris Nichols, SF, Syracuse

40. Lakers from Bobcats- Nick Fazekas, PF, Nevada

41. Timberwolves from 76ers- Wilson Chandler, SF, DePaul

42. Blazers from Pacers- Aaron Brooks, G, Oregon

43. Hornets- Trey Johnson, SG, Jackson St.

44. Magic- Herbert Hill, PF, Providence

45. Clippers- Reyshawn Terry, SF, North Carolina

46. Warriors from Nets- JameOn Curry, SG, Oklahoma St.

47. Wizards- Zabian Dowdell, PG, Virginia Tech

48. Lakers- Ramon Sessions, PG, Nevada

49. Bulls from Warriors via Suns, Celtics, and Nuggets- D.J. Strawberry, G, Maryland

50. Mavericks from Heat via Lakers- Kyrylo Fesenki, C, Ukraine

51. Bulls from Nuggets- Marko Tomas, SG, Croatia

52. Blazers from Raptors- Dominic McGuire, SF, Fresno St.

53. Blazers from Bulls- Marcelus Kemp, SG, Nevada

54. Magic from Cavs- Carl Landry, PF, Purdue

55. Jazz- Adam Haluska, SG, Iowa

56. Bucks from Rockets- J.R. Reynolds, SG, Virginia

57. Pistons- Ron Lewis, SG, Ohio St.

58. Spurs- Jared Jordan, PG, Marist

59. Suns- Brandon Heath, PG, San Diego St.

60. Mavericks- Mustafa Shakur, PG, Arizona


-Rich Keefe

Monday, June 11, 2007

No-Hit bid was great, but not the only thing

-Besse

Don’t get me wrong. As a former Division 1 collegiate pitcher and owner of one no-hitter in high school, I realize how difficult it is to throw a no-hitter at any level, never mind at the major league level.

So what Curt Schilling did on June 7, 2007 was put forth an incredible effort, mixing up his low 90’s fastball with that devastating splitter he has been struggling to consistently find. In fact, in his outing against Cleveland on May 28 in which he went seven strong while recording 10 strikeouts, Schilling commented on his personal blog, 38pitches.com, that it was the “1997 version” of his splitter that decided to show up. I learned at the park last week that apparently he and John Farrell have been working on altering the grip just slightly, moving his fingers a bit further up the ball so that they are resting more towards the wide end of the seam (the horseshoe).

And while the four he punched out against Oakland certainly didn’t stack up to the 10 he sent packing against the Indians, what he did do was keep the A’s off-balance in soliciting 12 ground ball and 11 fly ball outs. Most of the outs were fairly routine, aside from Coco Crisp’s outstanding reaching catch on the run and Mike Lowell’s terrific stab and throw at third.

But most importantly, this all came, for the fourth time this season, after a Red Sox loss. That’s right. Schilling improved to 4-0 on the season when registering a decision after a Sox loss, while the Sox upped their record to 6-0 in games that Schilling started after a loss; Javy Lopez registered a decision against Baltimore on May 12 while Hideki Okajima was the beneficiary against the Yankees on June 2nd.

The reason I make this point the focus of my entry is because it has become vividly clear that Josh Beckett is now taking over as the ace of the Sox staff. At 9-0 and a 2.88 ERA, Beckett has been absolutely phenomenal and will start the All-Star game and take home the Cy Young as long as no more “avulsions” appear between now and October.

Schilling, meanwhile, has been extremely inconsistent. In 13 starts so far, he has provided Boston with eight quality starts. Of those eight starts, he surrendered only one run or less in five of them. So what’s the problem, you ask? Well first off, while eight out of 13 might be pretty good at the plate, Curt Schilling is not Kevin Youkilis. He’s a pitcher making $13 million this season to be a top-of-the-rotation guy. Eight out of 13 won’t cut it, especially when you look at those five not-so-quality outings. In those games, Schilling has given up four runs or more, and only once did he do it while finishing the 7th inning. He recorded a no-decision after leaving trailing 5-2 to the Yankees on April 20th; the Sox scored five times in the eighth to win it. All in all, these numbers are atypical of both Schilling and any bona fide ace for that matter.

And after his plea for at least $13 million next year during spring training, he’d have trouble arguing his case in court.

But where Schilling has been consistent, both this year and throughout his hopefully Hall-of-Fame career? As a stopper. He forever cemented himself in Red Sox lore during the great World Series run of ’04, particularly in that bloody sock Game 6 of the ALCS against the Yankees. And this year, as mentioned, he has refused to let the Sox losses pile up.

When you have Schilling, Beckett and Matsuzaka as your top three in the rotation, it’s going to be hard over the course of the season to lose three or more games in a row. At some point one of the three big guns will falter and it will happen as it did last week, when the Sox lost the series finale to the Yankees and then made it four straight after dropping the first three to the A’s. But Schilling stepped up again, and he did it in tight quarters.

The A’s have the best pitching staff in Major League Baseball, so it was no secret that the four game series would play out like a soccer match with each team trying to scratch together runs whenever possible. And Thursday’s match up against Joe Blanton, who was coming off a nine-inning shutout of Minnesota, was no different. In fact Blanton, after surrendering four first-inning runs against the Sox on May 1st, shut out Boston for six innings thereafter en route to a 5-4 win.

So to find Schilling tossing a no-hitter into the ninth while involved in a 1-0 nothing game was nothing short of the amazing. It was reminiscent of Jack Morris’ 10-inning gem for the Twins back in ’91. Lest we forget that John Smoltz was on the other side of the diamond matching Morris for seven innings. Or that game in Little League when we played Amaral’s Linguica and Adam Bielski and I both threw no-hitters. That’s right, no hits for either team over seven innings. And we combined to strike out 27 batters. Not afraid to admit I still hang em up on the glory days of my youth baseball achievements.

But as far as Schilling goes, there’s no question that he is not as consistent as need be to exist in the role of ace like that of Beckett this season. However, he still belongs at the top of the rotation. Because when the stars align and the Sox top spot in the rotation is slotted up against their opponents’ top dog, Schilling must be there. Whenever there’s hype being built up, whether it’s for a stickball game in the yard or Game 7 of the World Series, Schilling thrives at being in the midst of it. You don’t even need to ask him…he’ll be the first to let you know.

-Besse

If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, pleast contact Besse, Keefe and Sharkey at sportsbrief.blogspot.com.