Friday, September 19, 2008

The Sports Brief's Week 3 NFL picks

This week Keefe gets the honors as he edged out myself and Random Rob by one pick. For Week 3, we went to the dartboard for Random Rob’s picks. I threw darts at the board and if it landed on a black space, that signified RR was picking the home team for the game in questions. If it landed on a white space, RR went with the away team for said pick. Bullseyes and misfires (yes, both of which did occur) represented an abstention and thus, a redo.

And here we go…

Keefe
Last Week: 11-4
Overall: 16-15


Falcons -4.5 over Chiefs
Chiefs are horrible. Tyler Thigpen is the 3rd starting QB in 3 weeks. Look for Michael Turner have a day somewhere in between his first 2.

Bills -8.5 over Raiders
This is the toughest game to pick of the week. The Raiders have looked like 2 completely different teams in the first 2 games. Buffalo is a tough place to play and Trent Edwards is getting more and more comfortable.

Bears -3.5 over Buccaneers
Not going to be a pretty game, but that Bears D and Forte get the job done.

Titans -4.5 over Texans
I liked the Texans at the start of the year, after Hurricane Ike they’ll have a lot more on their mind then just football. Plus Kerry Collins is better for that Titan O.

Panthers +3.5 over Vikings
Carolina is 2-0 and they just got Steve Smith back. Vikings can stuff the run, so it’s the perfect time to get back one of the premier wideouts in the league.

Dolphins +12.5 over Patriots
Don’t get me wrong, the Pats improve to 3-0 this weekend. But after a 7 point win over the hapless Chiefs and a 9 point win over the Jets, why should I think they beat the Phins by 13?

Giants -13.5 over Bengals
Will Carson Palmer throw a TD this week? It won’t matter, the Bengals can’t stop anyone.

Cardinals +3.5 over Redskins
Kurt Warner and the surprise Cards keep on keepin’ on.

Saints +5.5 over Broncos
Saints may want to guard Brandon Marshall. He only had 18 grabs last week. I think Drew Brees does enough to keep it close, somehow there is no “D” is Denver… think about it.

49ers -4.5 over Lions
I got J.T. O’Sullivan going in one of my fantasy teams, so I can’t go against them here against the terrible Lions.

Seahawks -9.5 over Rams
This is a big spread for such a bad team. Hasselbeck gets round 2 of Koren Robinson in Seattle and Keary Colbert. Not great, but the Rams may very well be the worst team in football. Let the St. Louis or USC debates begin.

Browns +1.5 over Ravens
The Browns have to turn it around, right? Anderson, Braylon, Winslow, Jamal Lewis… let’s go! Big game for Romeo.

Eagles -2.5 over Steelers
2 of the best teams after the first 2 weeks, and a Pennsylvania civil war. I’ll take McNabb in a bounce back game.

Jaguars +5.5 over Colts
I don’t like the Jags, said so at the start of the year. They will miss the playoffs. But without Bob Sanders I don’t see the Colts winning by more than 6. I expect a close one.

Cowboys -2.5 over Packers
Cowboys in primetime again. Another great match up here, with 2 of the best teams in the NFC. Packers D will have their work cut out.

Chargers -8.5 over Jets
Brett Favre on Monday Night! Yeah, I’m over it too. San Diego is winless, they’ll come out fast and put away the Bretts early.

Besse
Last Week: 9-6
Overall: 15-16


Falcons -4.5 over Chiefs
Not only should the running game resemble that of Week 1, but the Chiefs could have Keefe under center come week 4.

Bills -8.5 over Raiders
If the Raiders didn’t have to travel so damn far, I might have them covering here despite the fact that both Fargas and McFadden could be out. Bush can play, too, you know. Bills are a better football team, period.

Bears -3.5 over Buccaneers
Bears D could have a field day on this offense. They might actually look impressive as a team this week.

Titans -4.5 over Texans
Something tells me Kerry Collins will be the quarterback of this team for the rest of the season. They’re better with him under center. Texans are facing adversity on and off the field. Tough draw.

Panthers +3.5 over Vikings
AP may be out, and Steve Smith returns for the Panthers. Not a good combination for the Vikings.

Patriots -12.5 over Dolphins
Cassel will open it up with Moss downfield and torch the Dolphins D.

Bengals +13.5 over Giants
I still think the Bengals can turn this offense around. But the Giants will torch that defense. This could actually be a shootout, and I think the Giants win but fail to cover.

Redskins -3.5 over Cardinals
Long trip for Warner and the Cards. They’ll make a game of it, but the Redskins looked much better last week and will continue to improve in a solid win here.

Saints +5.5 over Broncos
Highest scoring game of the week with both defenses better off staying home. Broncos punch one in late again to improve to 3-0.

49ers -4.5 over Lions
49ers get another bad defense this week and should capitalize. Kitna will most likely throw for 300 yards, but he’ll probably toss another 3 picks out there, too.

Seahawks -9.5 over Rams
Hasselbeck and the Seahawks get to forget about their offensive woes for one week, looking like a legitimate offense with practice squad wideouts against the Rams.

Browns +1.5 over Ravens
I like Cleveland to gut one out against the Ravens here.

Eagles -2.5 over Steelers
Should be a terrific football game. Too bad it’s not on primetime. Reggie Brown may be back for the Eagles, and Mcnabb and Westbrook should had enough tricks in their bag to prevail here.

Colts -5.5 over Jags
Colts will pull out a solid victory and send Jacksonville to 0-3. Sadly, I had the Jags winning the division. Woops.

Cowboys -2.5 over Packers
I love TO.

Chargers -8.5 over Jets
This could be a fun game for both offenses. I like to think that the Chargers are just a better football team, though, whether Tomlinson is there or not. Sproles is explosive and should help maintain a nice rhythm on offense.

Random Rob
Last week: 9-6
Overall: 21-10

Falcons (-4.5)
Bills (-8.5)
Bears (-3.5)
Titans (-4.5)
Vikings (-3.5)
Pats (-12.5)Giants (-13.5)
Cardinals (+3.5)
Saints (+5.5)
Lions (+4.5)
Rams (+9.5)
Ravens (-1.5)
Steelers (+2.5)
Colts (-5.5)
Packers (+2.5)
Chargers (-8.5)

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