Last week was a little rough for the Greek. But those will happen. What's important is having a nice bounceback week, and that's what will happen in Week 5. There seem to be a lot of cupcake games for some of the elite teams like the Giants, Vikings, Eagles, Steelers and Colts, but there are a lot of points flying around for the underdogs, as well. It's an interesting week of spreads, but the Greek has them all figured out for you...
Redskins (+3.5) over Panthers
This is a field goal game either way. Both teams suck equally, and the only reason the Panthers are giving up points is because they're at home. I actually think they win this game and get out of their funk. Actually, you know what? This is a trap game, please hold...
Panthers (-3.5) over Redskins
D'Angelo Williams is going to run wild today. You can count on it. The Redskins are awful and won't do a thing on offense. Expect this to be somewhat of a surprising blowout/breakout/turnaround game for the Panthers while Jim Zorn lines himself up to be the first head coach on the chopping block in 2009.
Cowboys (-8.5) over Chiefs
A nice rebound for Romo and the 'boys. The Chiefs are terrible, there's no other way around it. They can't run, and they only score garbage points at the end of games. I'm sure they will again today, but Dallas will have too big of a lead to forfeit the spread.
Steelers (-10.5) over Lions
I don't know if Stafford is playing or not, but even if he is, he won't be 100%. Which is scary considering he's still a ways from being good. Mendenhall is going to feast like he did last week.
Bengals (+8.5) over Ravens
You're classic lose but cover the spread game. If this was in Cincy, the spread wouldn't be so large and I'd be picking the Bengals to win outright. I actually think they still could; they're playing with heavy hearts after the wife of an asst. coach died, and teams like that are always dangerous.
Browns (+5.5) over Bills
Browns will win outright. All signs point to it. The Bills can't pass the football, and their running game has disappeared the last couple weeks. Meanwhile, Derek Anderson has found a favorite target in Massaquoi. For some reason I just see them pulling it off.
Bucs (+13.5) over Eagles
Mcnabb will struggle just enough to keep Tampa Bay in it. I wouldn't be suprised if a late TD covers. Bill Simmons wrote about the possibility of what one of his readers called a "moral loss" the other day. That's what the Eagles will have. The opposite of a moral victory.
Vikings (-10.5) over Rams
I want to pick the Rams here as a classic letdown game for Favre and the Vikings after last week's Monday night thriller. But I can't. The game is in a dome, and I think their offense, especially Adrian Peterson, will just light up the scoreboard.
Giants (-15.5) over Raiders
I'd pick the Giants even if David Carr was the quarterback. You can't make this spread big enough.
Falcons (+2.5) over 49ers
I like Mike Singletary and his team, but you can't give the Falcons offense two weeks to prepare for you. They have too many playmakers. It'll be a nice, balanced attack, and the defense will play well in a solid 17-13 victory.
Texans (+5.5) over Cardinals
High scoring game, but the Texans cover. The Cardinals secondary has been shaky, so look for the Texans passing offense to take advantage. Cardinals win though.
Pats (-3.5) over Broncos
I think we'll all be surprised with how easily the Pats win this game. I don't know why, it's just a feeling I have. One thing I do know is that the postgame handshake between Belicheck and McDaniels will be more of a hug. For once, Bill still likes one of his former proteges.
Jags (+0.5) over Seahawks
Another high scoring game. Look for these two teams to have an absolute shootout. I think the Jaguars will have enough of an edge to steal this thing on the road, i.e. MJD3.
Colts (-4.5) over Titans
Peyton Manning will continue his dominance in the air and boost his argument for a 4th MVP.
Jets (-1.5) over Dolphins
I have nothing to say about this game. Perhaps one of the more boring MNF games in a while. Thank god Braylon Edwards got traded to NY. It's the only good storyline they have.
Last week: 5-9
Overall: 35-27
Note: I won't be able to have Tarrific Tara's picks in time for the 1pm games. But she doesn't watch them anyway, so I'll post them later.
-Greek
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